The Russians are coming.

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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby Michael on Fri Mar 14, 2014 10:06 pm

Was that the parliamentary session when the thug who slapped around the district attorney was then pacing through parliament with a kalashnikov during the "impeachment" proceedings, along with some other "revolutionaries"?
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby Steve James on Fri Mar 14, 2014 10:48 pm

Wow, I thought you were asking a real question. You know way more details about the situation than I. So, no sense trying to answer.
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby Michael on Fri Mar 14, 2014 11:25 pm

I have a difficult time trying to remember the Ukranian/Russian names and I haven't studied the timelines in detail, so I was just trying to stimulate and get feedback in case I missed something. I'm not terribly up to speed on the details of everything's that's happened in Ukraine since November 'cause it coincided with me taking a break from the news.
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby grzegorz on Sat Mar 15, 2014 1:37 am

Well I've been following the situation in the Ukraine since I first went there in 1990 and again 10 years ago and I'm not following any of the pro-Russian arguments. Any country with 50 percent unemployment is likely to overthrow it's politicians, as they should.

By the way, I haven't confirmed it yet but I heard in an interview on NPR that the ballot does not allow for the Crimea to stay with Ukraine. The choices are independence or to become part of Russia.
Last edited by grzegorz on Sat Mar 15, 2014 1:44 am, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby wiesiek on Sat Mar 15, 2014 6:47 am

hehe
independent? ,
in reality Crimea is Russian already, all cards are on table, rest is just cosmetic names make up!
Nobody will start the open conflict. This will not resolve the problem anyway, unless somebody like to remove quite big part of our population .
Global economy rules our time.
Sanction for Russia will kick our arse too.
so
Putin is taking the Crimea right now, theoretically allowing Ukraine to be "free".

- bear in mind - theoretically -
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby wiesiek on Mon Mar 17, 2014 3:51 am

so,
my word became reality :( , Crimea is taken.
Now we have much serious problem - east Ukraine starting to "like" go follow Putin`s idea.
In fact it was clear for me that Crimea is just his 1st step >:( .
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby Michael on Mon Mar 17, 2014 6:16 am

Juice Media Rap News explains Crimea :)

Crimea: Media War Games - feat. Abby Martin [RAP NEWS 23]



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zDIczjJRSic
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby chud on Mon Mar 17, 2014 8:15 am

Kasparov on Obama: ‘Carter looks like Churchill in comparison’: click
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby grzegorz on Mon Mar 17, 2014 9:27 am

Chud,

You keep telling us what others think.

You're an intelligent man. What would you do if you were president?

Personally I think Crim should go to Russia, as unfortunate as that is for Tartars who are having their doors marked as they did in Stalin times before being sent to Siberia. The fact is it was given to Ukraine when they were all part of the same country. But Putin is going about it all wrong as far as the future between those two nations go. I believe he could have accomplished the same thing through diplomacy.

When the communists were voted out of Central and Eastern Europe Bush senior said it would have bad idea for the US to go in and provoke the Soviets and he was right.
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby wiesiek on Mon Mar 17, 2014 12:01 pm

if I may , Grześ:
ring the bells, all of them,
but
don`t push tHIS button!
for God sake, don`t.

In fact, EU and US going this way in hope, that Władimir Władimirowicz will spend so much on Crimea, that similar operation under the name "East Ukraine" became to costly ,
and
he simply say - pass :-\ .
From the "cold calculation" point of view, what "the rest of the world" can really do, if economy war will be fruitless?
Who will play the hero on front of the thermonuclear warheads with KGB officer behind THE button?
Even If, probably, half of them is non-operational -shrug-

and
was there any real thread for US , if / :) / we forget the Cuba?
BTW excellent example - nothing happen or we all doomed
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby grzegorz on Mon Mar 17, 2014 12:08 pm

Exactly, which is why I think Kasparov is a tool. A world war over the Crim? For what?

All a war would do is give us millions of dead Ukrainians.
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby Dmitri on Tue Mar 18, 2014 1:09 am

wiesiek wrote:so,
my word became reality :( , Crimea is taken.

Yup, looks like Putin's "suggestion" just became official.

Now we have much serious problem - east Ukraine starting to "like" go follow Putin`s idea.
In fact it was clear for me that Crimea is just his 1st step >:( .

I dunno man, I really hope you're wrong on that. Although who knows; it's been done too many times before.

...

Everybody has always wanted/been fighting for Crimea, it seems, throughout history.

Hell it's been Russian for much longer than it's been Ukrainian. It's just going back to its rightful owners. (I mean, to the guys with the bigger/more guns.) History repeats itself; nothing new under the sun... :-X :(
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby wiesiek on Tue Mar 18, 2014 2:26 am

Dimitri, I really love to be wrong here,
but
you know the system probably better than me, chances of breaking thru the circles are quite lo.
In addition human nature somehow doesn`t change thru millennia ...
shit, >:(
we did flower power revolution back in 60`-70' and what?
right now our generation has the steering wheel...

then we have the chance

...hypothetically.
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby Azer on Tue Mar 18, 2014 5:17 am

This is a good read on the topic:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/ ... story.html

The U.S. has treated Russia like a loser since the end of the Cold War
By Jack F. Matlock Jr., Published: March 14

Jack F. Matlock Jr., ambassador to the U.S.S.R. from 1987 to 1991, is the author of “Reagan and Gorbachev: How the Cold War Ended.”

One afternoon in September 1987, Secretary of State George Shultz settled in a chair across the table from Soviet Foreign Minister Eduard Shevardnadze in a New York conference room. Both were in the city for the United Nations General Assembly.

As he habitually did at the start of such meetings , Shultz handed Shevardnadze a list of reported human rights abuses in the Soviet Union. Shevardnadze’s predecessor, Andrei Gromyko, had always received such lists grudgingly and would lecture us for interfering in Soviet internal affairs.

This time, though, Shevardnadze looked Shultz in the eye and said through his interpreter: “George, I will check this out, and if your information is correct, I will do what I can to correct the problem. But I want you to know one thing: I am not doing this because you ask me to; I am doing it because it is what my country needs to do.”

Shultz replied: “Eduard, that’s the only reason either of us should do something. Let me assure you that I will never ask you to do something that I believe is not in your country’s interest.”

They stood and shook hands. As I watched the scene, with as much emotion as amazement, it dawned on me that the Cold War was over. The job of American ambassador in Moscow was going to be a lot easier for me than it had been for my predecessors.

I thought back to that moment as talks between Secretary of State John Kerry and Russia’s top diplomat this past week failed to resolve the crisis in Ukraine. It’s striking that the language being used publicly now is so much more strident than our language, public or private, was then. “It can get ugly fast if the wrong choices are made,” Kerry declared Wednesday, threatening sanctions.

I don’t believe that we are witnessing a renewal of the Cold War. The tensions between Russia and the West are based more on misunderstandings, misrepresentations and posturing for domestic audiences than on any real clash of ideologies or national interests. And the issues are far fewer and much less dangerous than those we dealt with during the Cold War.

But a failure to appreciate how the Cold War ended has had a profound impact on Russian and Western attitudes — and helps explain what we are seeing now.

The common assumption that the West forced the collapse of the Soviet Union and thus won the Cold War is wrong . The fact is that the Cold War ended by negotiation to the advantage of both sides.

At the December 1989 Malta summit, Mikhail Gorbachev and President George H.W. Bush confirmed that the ideological basis for the war was gone, stating that the two nations no longer regarded each other as enemies . Over the next two years, we worked more closely with the Soviets than with even some of our allies. Together, we halted the arms race, banned chemical weapons and agreed to drastically reduce nuclear weapons. I also witnessed the raising of the Iron Curtain, the liberation of Eastern Europe and the voluntary abandonment of communist ideology by the Soviet leader. Without an arms race ruining the Soviet economy and perpetuating totalitarianism, Gorbachev was freed to focus on internal reforms.

Because the collapse of the Soviet Union happened so soon afterward, people often confuse it with the end of the Cold War. But they were separate events, and the former was not an inevitable outcome of the latter.

Moreover, the breakup of the U.S.S.R. into 15 separate countries was not something the United States caused or wanted. We hoped that Gorbachev would forge a voluntary union of Soviet republics, minus the three Baltic countries. Bush made this clear in August 1991 when he urged the non-Russian Soviet republics to adopt the union treaty Gorbachev had proposed and warned against “suicidal nationalism.” Russians who regret the collapse of the Soviet Union should remember that it was the elected leader of Russia, Boris Yeltsin, who conspired with his Ukrainian and Belarusian counterparts to replace the U.S.S.R. with a loose and powerless “commonwealth.”

Even after the U.S.S.R. ceased to exist, Gorbachev maintained that “the end of the Cold War is our common victory.” Yet the United States insisted on treating Russia as the loser.

“By the grace of God, America won the Cold War,” Bush said during his 1992 State of the Union address. That rhetoric would not have been particularly damaging on its own. But it was reinforced by actions taken under the next three presidents.

President Bill Clinton supported NATO’s bombing of Serbia without U.N. Security Council approval and the expansion of NATO to include former Warsaw Pact countries. Those moves seemed to violate the understanding that the United States would not take advantage of the Soviet retreat from Eastern Europe. The effect on Russians’ trust in the United States was devastating. In 1991, polls indicated that about 80 percent of Russian citizens had a favorable view of the United States; in 1999, nearly the same percentage had an unfavorable view.

Vladi­mir Putin was elected in 2000 and initially followed a pro-Western orientation. When terrorists attacked the United States on Sept. 11, 2001, he was the first foreign leader to call and offer support. He cooperated with the United States when it invaded Afghanistan, and he voluntarily removed Russian bases from Cuba and Cam Ranh Bay in Vietnam.

What did he get in return? Some meaningless praise from President George W. Bush, who then delivered the diplomatic equivalent of swift kicks to the groin: further expansion of NATO in the Baltics and the Balkans, and plans for American bases there; withdrawal from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty; invasion of Iraq without U.N. Security Council approval; overt participation in the “color revolutions” in Ukraine, Georgia and Kyrgyzstan; and then, probing some of the firmest red lines any Russian leader would draw, talk of taking Georgia and Ukraine into NATO. Americans, heritors of the Monroe Doctrine, should have understood that Russia would be hypersensitive to foreign-dominated military alliances approaching or touching its borders.

President Obama famously attempted a “reset” of relations with Russia, with some success: The New START treaty was an important achievement, and there was increased quiet cooperation on a number of regional issues. But then Congress’s penchant for minding other people’s business when it cannot cope with its own began to take its toll. The Magnitsky Act , which singled out Russia for human rights violations as if there were none of comparable gravity elsewhere, infuriated Russia’s rulers and confirmed with the broader public the image of the United States as an implacable enemy.

The sad fact is that the cycle of dismissive actions by the United States met by overreactions by Russia has so poisoned the relationship that the sort of quiet diplomacy used to end the Cold War was impossible when the crisis in Ukraine burst upon the world’s consciousness. It’s why 43 percent of Russians are ready to believe that Western actions are behind the crisis and that Russia is under siege.

Putin’s military occupation of Crimea has exacerbated the situation. If it leads to the incorporation of Crimea in the Russian Federation , it may well result in a period of mutual recrimination and economic sanctions reminiscent of the Cold War. In that scenario, there would be no winners, only losers: most of all Ukraine itself, which may not survive in its present form, and Russia, which would become more isolated. Russia may also see a rise in terrorist acts from anti-Russian extremists on its periphery and more resistance from neighboring governments to membership in the economic union it is promoting.

Meanwhile, the United States and Europe would lose to the extent that a resentful Russia would make it even more difficult to address global and regional issues such as the Iranian nuclear program, North Korea and the Syrian civil war, to name a few. Russian policy in these areas has not always been all the United States desired, but it has been more helpful than many Americans realize. And encouraging a more obstructive Russia is not in anyone’s interest.
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Re: The Russians are coming.

Postby wiesiek on Tue Mar 18, 2014 6:03 am

well,
I never been in the Moscow,
but
when I landed in NYC , get to Rockefeller Centrer, and look around, at all those ssssskyscrapers and particularly those big gold sculptures, all in the soc-realism style ;)

everything huge and solid like Lenin on Red Square.... :D

just laowai impression :-X
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